BetOnline Has Trump With 75 Percent Probability of Winning 2024 Election After Attempt on Life

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Jul/15/2024

  • Donald Trump had been priced no higher than -180 even after Joe Biden's disastrous debate but the line moved to -300 following assassination attempt at Pennsylvania rally.
  • Joe Biden, meanwhile, has moved to a larger favorite to be the Democratic nominee and not drop out of the race.
  • VP Kamala Harris sees her longest odds since the debate.
  • Shooting suspect identified as Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, of Bethel Park, Pennsylvania.

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As expected, the shooting incident that occurred yesterday in Pennsylvania has bolstered former U.S. President Donald Trump's chances of being re-elected in November, according to the odds.

"Following the disturbing event that happened Saturday evening, we immediately suspended betting odds for all political markets," BetOnline.ag political oddsmaker Paul Krishnamurty said. "Everyone could anticipate the public reaction, so we adjusted the odds accordingly and moved Trump from -200 to -250 for the presidency. Since then, we've seen nothing but Trump money come in."

The current 2024 Election odds from BetOnline.ag are below. Trump is now a -300 (1/3) favorite, equating to a 75% implied probability.  Those odds have not budged over the last 48 hours as of Monday morning.

Additionally, due to the shooting (and the expectance that the Democratic will ultimately lose the White House), current U.S. President Joe Biden has moved to a larger favorite to be the Democratic nominee and not drop out of the race.  As of Monday morning, Biden's odds were sitting at +350 while Vice President Kamala Harris lost the most ground yet, coming in at +1000, down from a high of +350 post debate.

Finally, J.D. Vance has shifted to a heavy favorite to be announced as Trump's running mate. Vance's odds are now 5/4 (+125), but Doug Burgum is close behind at 2/1.

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Trump spoke exclusively to the New York Post ahead of this week's GOP convention, understanding the gravity of the situation.

“The doctor at the hospital said he never saw anything like this, he called it a miracle,” said Trump, who was sporting a large, loose white bandage that covered his right ear. His staff insisted that no photos be taken.

“I’m not supposed to be here, I’m supposed to be dead,” Trump said. “I’m supposed to be dead.”

What We Know So Far

2024 U.S. Presidential Election           

All odds courtesy of BetOnline Here                         

Donald Trump Sr.          1/3                   (-300)

Joe Biden                      5/1                  

Kamala Harris               7/1                  

Michelle Obama            33/1                

Gavin Newsom              40/1                

Gretchen Whitmer        40/1                

Hillary Clinton               66/1                

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.    66/1                

Nikki Haley                   150/1              

                                               

Will Joe Biden withdraw before DNC?                                      

No                    1/4                   (-400)

Yes                   5/2                   (+250)

                                               

Democratic Nominee                                       

Joe Biden                      1/3                   (-300)

Kamala Harris               3/1                  

Gavin Newsom              20/1                

Gretchen Whitmer        20/1                

Michelle Obama            20/1                

Hillary Clinton               33/1                

Josh Shapiro                 150/1              

J.B. Pritzker                   200/1              

Raphael Warnock          200/1              

Andy Beshear               250/1              

Pete Buttigieg               250/1              

Elizabeth Warren          300/1              

Amy Klobuchar             500/1              

Bernie Sanders              1000/1            

Dean Phillips                 1000/1            

                                               

Republican Vice President                                           

J.D. Vance                     5/4                   (+125)

Doug Burgum               2/1                  

Marco Rubio                 5/1                  

Ben Carson                   12/1                

Tulsi Gabbard               16/1                

Glenn Youngkin             20/1                

Tim Scott                      20/1                

Elise Stefanik                45/1                

Vivek Ramaswamy        50/1                

S. Huckabee Sanders     80/1                

Byron Donalds              100/1              

K.T. McFarland              100/1              

Tom Cotton                  100/1              

Robert F Kennedy Jr.     150/1              

Mike Pence                   200/1              

Michael Waltz               250/1              

Ron DeSantis                250/1              

Candace Owens            500/1              

Donald Trump Jr.          500/1              

Ivanka Trump                500/1              

Tucker Carlson              500/1     

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